Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to an overnight minimum near 18°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 5–8 m/s. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling after sunset, tempered by residual daytime warmth and light winds that limit extreme drops. Clearer intervals could push the low toward 15–16°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while thicker cloud cover or slight warm advection would hold readings closer to 19–20°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 16–19°C, providing context for the current setup. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any cloud or wind shifts in the final model runs, trader pricing balances these narrow but impactful variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 15?
24°C or higher 75%
14°C or below 41%
17°C 23%
16°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
41%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
23%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
2%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
75%
24°C or higher 75%
14°C or below 41%
17°C 23%
16°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
41%
15°C
$0 Wol.
22%
16°C
$0 Wol.
22%
17°C
$0 Wol.
23%
18°C
$0 Wol.
22%
19°C
$0 Wol.
22%
20°C
$0 Wol.
21%
21°C
$10 Wol.
2%
22°C
$10 Wol.
18%
23°C
$10 Wol.
18%
24°C or higher
$10 Wol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to an overnight minimum near 18°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 5–8 m/s. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling after sunset, tempered by residual daytime warmth and light winds that limit extreme drops. Clearer intervals could push the low toward 15–16°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while thicker cloud cover or slight warm advection would hold readings closer to 19–20°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 16–19°C, providing context for the current setup. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any cloud or wind shifts in the final model runs, trader pricing balances these narrow but impactful variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to an overnight minimum near 18°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 5–8 m/s. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling after sunset, tempered by residual daytime warmth and light winds that limit extreme drops. Clearer intervals could push the low toward 15–16°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while thicker cloud cover or slight warm advection would hold readings closer to 19–20°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 16–19°C, providing context for the current setup. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any cloud or wind shifts in the final model runs, trader pricing balances these narrow but impactful variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to an overnight minimum near 18°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy skies with northeasterly flow around 5–8 m/s. This pattern favors moderate radiative cooling after sunset, tempered by residual daytime warmth and light winds that limit extreme drops. Clearer intervals could push the low toward 15–16°C through enhanced longwave radiation loss, while thicker cloud cover or slight warm advection would hold readings closer to 19–20°C. Historical September climatology shows typical minima of 16–19°C, providing context for the current setup. With resolution hinging on the precise timing of any cloud or wind shifts in the final model runs, trader pricing balances these narrow but impactful variables.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania