Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on September 14 are moderating daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near the 31–33°C range. Multiple numerical weather models indicate high precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–85%, with thick stratiform and convective clouds limiting solar insolation while elevated dew points near 24–26°C sustain humid conditions that suppress rapid temperature rises. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 32°C for the date but introduces uncertainty from variable storm timing and intensity, which can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C depending on whether brief clearing occurs during peak afternoon heating. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow dispersion across ensemble guidance, with traders weighting the balance between rain-cooled scenarios favoring 32°C or lower and any temporary breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
26%
33°C
34%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 34%
32°C 26%
34°C 22%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$493 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$813 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$219 Wol.
1%
29°C
$51 Wol.
2%
30°C
$391 Wol.
4%
31°C
$431 Wol.
7%
32°C
$604 Wol.
26%
33°C
$158 Wol.
34%
34°C
$683 Wol.
22%
35°C
$1,517 Wol.
4%
36°C or higher
$325 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on September 14 are moderating daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near the 31–33°C range. Multiple numerical weather models indicate high precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–85%, with thick stratiform and convective clouds limiting solar insolation while elevated dew points near 24–26°C sustain humid conditions that suppress rapid temperature rises. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 32°C for the date but introduces uncertainty from variable storm timing and intensity, which can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C depending on whether brief clearing occurs during peak afternoon heating. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow dispersion across ensemble guidance, with traders weighting the balance between rain-cooled scenarios favoring 32°C or lower and any temporary breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,686Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on September 14 are moderating daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near the 31–33°C range. Multiple numerical weather models indicate high precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–85%, with thick stratiform and convective clouds limiting solar insolation while elevated dew points near 24–26°C sustain humid conditions that suppress rapid temperature rises. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 32°C for the date but introduces uncertainty from variable storm timing and intensity, which can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C depending on whether brief clearing occurs during peak afternoon heating. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow dispersion across ensemble guidance, with traders weighting the balance between rain-cooled scenarios favoring 32°C or lower and any temporary breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,686Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for Guangzhou on September 14 are moderating daytime heating and anchoring the daily maximum near the 31–33°C range. Multiple numerical weather models indicate high precipitation probabilities exceeding 70–85%, with thick stratiform and convective clouds limiting solar insolation while elevated dew points near 24–26°C sustain humid conditions that suppress rapid temperature rises. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 32°C for the date but introduces uncertainty from variable storm timing and intensity, which can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C depending on whether brief clearing occurs during peak afternoon heating. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow dispersion across ensemble guidance, with traders weighting the balance between rain-cooled scenarios favoring 32°C or lower and any temporary breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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