Meteorological forecast models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 6°C under clear, calm overnight conditions that favor radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 7–9°C but dip lower amid dry air masses and light winds. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and absence of disruptive factors like incoming precipitation or stronger advection. A sudden shift in steering patterns or underestimated cloud cover could still push readings a degree or two higher or lower, though such revisions appear unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 13?
6°C 99%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
2°C or below <1%
$3,475 Wol.
$3,475 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
6°C 99%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
2°C or below <1%
$3,475 Wol.
$3,475 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
3°C
$65 Wol.
1%
4°C
$5 Wol.
1%
5°C
$125 Wol.
1%
6°C
$709 Wol.
99%
7°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$217 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$133 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,975 Wol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecast models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 6°C under clear, calm overnight conditions that favor radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 7–9°C but dip lower amid dry air masses and light winds. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and absence of disruptive factors like incoming precipitation or stronger advection. A sudden shift in steering patterns or underestimated cloud cover could still push readings a degree or two higher or lower, though such revisions appear unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,475Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological forecast models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 6°C under clear, calm overnight conditions that favor radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 7–9°C but dip lower amid dry air masses and light winds. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and absence of disruptive factors like incoming precipitation or stronger advection. A sudden shift in steering patterns or underestimated cloud cover could still push readings a degree or two higher or lower, though such revisions appear unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,475Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological forecast models, including runs from global ensembles, indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 6°C under clear, calm overnight conditions that favor radiational cooling. This outcome aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September, when average lows hover near 7–9°C but dip lower amid dry air masses and light winds. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability reflects the tight clustering of model guidance and absence of disruptive factors like incoming precipitation or stronger advection. A sudden shift in steering patterns or underestimated cloud cover could still push readings a degree or two higher or lower, though such revisions appear unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania