Skip to main content
icon for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

50-54 49%

55-59 49%

60+ 49%

5-9 34%

Polymarket
NOWE

50-54 49%

55-59 49%

60+ 49%

5-9 34%

Polymarket
NOWE

<5

$12 Wol.

44%

5-9

$0 Wol.

34%

10-14

$0 Wol.

33%

15-19

$0 Wol.

33%

20-24

$0 Wol.

33%

25-29

$0 Wol.

33%

30-34

$0 Wol.

33%

35-39

$0 Wol.

33%

40-44

$0 Wol.

33%

45-49

$0 Wol.

33%

50-54

$5 Wol.

49%

55-59

$5 Wol.

49%

60+

$5 Wol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, has maintained a pattern of infrequent activity in recent months, typically releasing several historical quotes or archival items per week rather than daily new content. This pace aligns with trader emphasis on the sub-5 bin, reflecting limited scheduled events or official statements expected in the August 21-28 window amid ongoing regional tensions and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei's leadership role. Broader factors include the account's focus on recurring themes like resistance narratives without fresh triggers, alongside Iran's intermittent internet controls that have not halted but also not accelerated output. Markets assign lower weight to higher bins as historical weekly volumes rarely exceed modest levels absent major diplomatic or military developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$27
Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts statements attributed to the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, has maintained a pattern of infrequent activity in recent months, typically releasing several historical quotes or archival items per week rather than daily new content. This pace aligns with trader emphasis on the sub-5 bin, reflecting limited scheduled events or official statements expected in the August 21-28 window amid ongoing regional tensions and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei's leadership role. Broader factors include the account's focus on recurring themes like resistance narratives without fresh triggers, alongside Iran's intermittent internet controls that have not halted but also not accelerated output. Markets assign lower weight to higher bins as historical weekly volumes rarely exceed modest levels absent major diplomatic or military developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$27
Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 13 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<5" z 44%, za nim "5-9" z 34%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 44¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?", przeglądaj 13 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" jest "<5" z 44%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 44% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "5-9" z 34%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.