Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 peak shapes trader positioning for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI, due October 1. The August reading eased to 54.6, below the 55.2 consensus, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and employment growth cooled to 51.2, while production held near 58.3 and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures. Eight straight months of expansion above 50 reflect resilience, yet tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related uncertainty continue to weigh on order pipelines and backlogs. With probabilities clustered tightly across the 53–56 ranges, markets price in continued but uneven growth rather than a decisive acceleration or reversal ahead of the next data release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026
55.0 to 55.9 28%
53.0 to 53.9 26%
56.0 to 56.9 24%
54.0 to 54.9 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
3%
50.0 to 50.9
1%
51.0 to 51.9
5%
52.0 to 52.9
15%
53.0 to 53.9
26%
54.0 to 54.9
17%
55.0 to 55.9
28%
56.0 to 56.9
24%
57.0 to 57.9
12%
58.0+
5%
55.0 to 55.9 28%
53.0 to 53.9 26%
56.0 to 56.9 24%
54.0 to 54.9 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 1, 2026
<50.0
$160 Wol.
3%
50.0 to 50.9
$885 Wol.
1%
51.0 to 51.9
$496 Wol.
5%
52.0 to 52.9
$34 Wol.
15%
53.0 to 53.9
$18 Wol.
26%
54.0 to 54.9
$34 Wol.
17%
55.0 to 55.9
$33 Wol.
28%
56.0 to 56.9
$18 Wol.
24%
57.0 to 57.9
$17 Wol.
12%
58.0+
$169 Wol.
5%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 peak shapes trader positioning for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI, due October 1. The August reading eased to 54.6, below the 55.2 consensus, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and employment growth cooled to 51.2, while production held near 58.3 and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures. Eight straight months of expansion above 50 reflect resilience, yet tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related uncertainty continue to weigh on order pipelines and backlogs. With probabilities clustered tightly across the 53–56 ranges, markets price in continued but uneven growth rather than a decisive acceleration or reversal ahead of the next data release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,863Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 peak shapes trader positioning for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI, due October 1. The August reading eased to 54.6, below the 55.2 consensus, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and employment growth cooled to 51.2, while production held near 58.3 and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures. Eight straight months of expansion above 50 reflect resilience, yet tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related uncertainty continue to weigh on order pipelines and backlogs. With probabilities clustered tightly across the 53–56 ranges, markets price in continued but uneven growth rather than a decisive acceleration or reversal ahead of the next data release.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$1,863Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. manufacturing activity after July’s 55.6 peak shapes trader positioning for the September ISM Manufacturing PMI, due October 1. The August reading eased to 54.6, below the 55.2 consensus, as new orders slowed to 53.7 and employment growth cooled to 51.2, while production held near 58.3 and the prices index stayed elevated at 71.1 amid persistent input-cost pressures. Eight straight months of expansion above 50 reflect resilience, yet tariffs, supply-chain delays, and Middle East-related uncertainty continue to weigh on order pipelines and backlogs. With probabilities clustered tightly across the 53–56 ranges, markets price in continued but uneven growth rather than a decisive acceleration or reversal ahead of the next data release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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