**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.** The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 11%
3.6% 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
28%
3.4%
43%
3.5%
11%
3.6%
9%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 43%
3.3% 28%
3.5% 11%
3.6% 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 Wol.
3%
3.0%
$72 Wol.
4%
3.1%
$72 Wol.
3%
3.2%
$72 Wol.
5%
3.3%
$202 Wol.
28%
3.4%
$654 Wol.
43%
3.5%
$131 Wol.
11%
3.6%
$72 Wol.
9%
3.7%
$171 Wol.
5%
3.8%
$192 Wol.
5%
3.9%
$192 Wol.
3%
≥4.0%
$64 Wol.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.**
The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,963Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.**
The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$1,963Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment in the August 2026 U.S. CPI year-over-year market centers on the 3.3–3.4% outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability following the July print that matched the 3.4% consensus at 3.4% YoY.** The July Bureau of Labor Statistics release showed headline CPI rising just 0.1% month-over-month, with the annual rate easing from June’s 3.5% amid softer gasoline prices and moderating shelter costs, while core CPI held at 2.5% YoY. This latest data reinforced the recent disinflation trend and anchored expectations for August, with market-implied odds reflecting continued modest cooling before the September 11 release. Broader context includes stable consumer inflation expectations near 3.6% and ongoing tariff pass-through effects that remain a longer-term upside risk but have yet to disrupt the near-term trajectory. The distribution around 3.3–3.4% illustrates how recent official figures and nowcasts have narrowed the range of probable outcomes ahead of the next print.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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