Elevated U.S. fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, combined with heavy Treasury supply and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure exceeding $700 billion annually, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to approximately 5.25% as of September 4, 2026, lifting the term premium as the safety premium on long-duration debt diminishes. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target— with July PCE near 3.7% and sticky core goods and energy components—alongside a strong August jobs report showing 162,000 payroll gains, has shifted market-implied odds toward additional rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI and PPI releases for confirmation of disinflation trends versus further tightening signals that could extend the recent climb in long-end yields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
NOWE
Dec 30, 2026
6.00%
39%
5.80%
50%
5.70%
50%
5.65%
50%
5.60%
50%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
61%
5.40%
64%
$0.00 Wol.
6.00%
$0 Wol.
39%
5.80%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.70%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.65%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.60%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.55%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.50%
$0 Wol.
50%
5.45%
$0 Wol.
61%
5.40%
$0 Wol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated U.S. fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, combined with heavy Treasury supply and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure exceeding $700 billion annually, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to approximately 5.25% as of September 4, 2026, lifting the term premium as the safety premium on long-duration debt diminishes. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target— with July PCE near 3.7% and sticky core goods and energy components—alongside a strong August jobs report showing 162,000 payroll gains, has shifted market-implied odds toward additional rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI and PPI releases for confirmation of disinflation trends versus further tightening signals that could extend the recent climb in long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated U.S. fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, combined with heavy Treasury supply and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure exceeding $700 billion annually, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to approximately 5.25% as of September 4, 2026, lifting the term premium as the safety premium on long-duration debt diminishes. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target— with July PCE near 3.7% and sticky core goods and energy components—alongside a strong August jobs report showing 162,000 payroll gains, has shifted market-implied odds toward additional rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI and PPI releases for confirmation of disinflation trends versus further tightening signals that could extend the recent climb in long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Elevated U.S. fiscal deficits exceeding 5% of GDP, combined with heavy Treasury supply and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure exceeding $700 billion annually, have driven the 30-year Treasury yield to approximately 5.25% as of September 4, 2026, lifting the term premium as the safety premium on long-duration debt diminishes. Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target— with July PCE near 3.7% and sticky core goods and energy components—alongside a strong August jobs report showing 162,000 payroll gains, has shifted market-implied odds toward additional rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Traders are monitoring upcoming CPI and PPI releases for confirmation of disinflation trends versus further tightening signals that could extend the recent climb in long-end yields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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