Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
20%
2 24.1%
3 22%
4+ 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 FOMC deliberations, featuring a 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% amid three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, underscore the divided committee stance driving evenly matched Polymarket probabilities for December dissent counts. Elevated inflation near 3.5% year-over-year, fueled by Middle East supply shocks, contrasts with a stable labor market at roughly 4.2% unemployment, leaving room for both hawkish and dovish shifts depending on incoming CPI, PCE, and employment data. Market-implied rate paths now tilt toward potential tightening later in 2026, amplifying uncertainty around how many participants will break from consensus by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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