Recent May 2026 CPI data showing 4.2% year-over-year inflation, fueled by energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes. The federal funds target range remains at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds in 2026, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that stance under incoming leadership. CME FedWatch pricing now reflects roughly 66% odds of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end, as markets price out cuts and respond to firmer growth and price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and October meetings plus subsequent inflation and employment releases, which could alter the path if data deviate from current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$173,150 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
7%
September Meeting
20%
October Meeting
29%
$173,150 Wol.
June Meeting
$30,950 Wol.
1%
July Meeting
$2,681 Wol.
7%
September Meeting
$4,920 Wol.
20%
October Meeting
$3,291 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent May 2026 CPI data showing 4.2% year-over-year inflation, fueled by energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes. The federal funds target range remains at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds in 2026, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that stance under incoming leadership. CME FedWatch pricing now reflects roughly 66% odds of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end, as markets price out cuts and respond to firmer growth and price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and October meetings plus subsequent inflation and employment releases, which could alter the path if data deviate from current trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$173,150Data zakończenia
Oct 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent May 2026 CPI data showing 4.2% year-over-year inflation, fueled by energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes. The federal funds target range remains at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds in 2026, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that stance under incoming leadership. CME FedWatch pricing now reflects roughly 66% odds of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end, as markets price out cuts and respond to firmer growth and price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and October meetings plus subsequent inflation and employment releases, which could alter the path if data deviate from current trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$173,150Data zakończenia
Oct 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent May 2026 CPI data showing 4.2% year-over-year inflation, fueled by energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes. The federal funds target range remains at 3.50%-3.75% following multiple holds in 2026, with the June 16-17 FOMC meeting widely expected to maintain that stance under incoming leadership. CME FedWatch pricing now reflects roughly 66% odds of at least one 25-basis-point hike by year-end, as markets price out cuts and respond to firmer growth and price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the September and October meetings plus subsequent inflation and employment releases, which could alter the path if data deviate from current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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