The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 29%
4+ 28%
2 16%
1 15%
$14,031 Wol.
$14,031 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
11%
1
15%
2
16%
3
29%
4+
34%
3 29%
4+ 28%
2 16%
1 15%
$14,031 Wol.
$14,031 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
0
$9,144 Wol.
11%
1
$505 Wol.
15%
2
$585 Wol.
16%
3
$2,958 Wol.
29%
4+
$838 Wol.
34%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,031Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$14,031Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader-implied odds for three or four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting reflect persistent policy divisions driven by inflation remaining well above the 2% target—July PCE at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core—despite recent signs of disinflation and a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.1%. The July meeting's 9-3 vote, featuring three hawkish dissents favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, established a precedent that incoming August CPI and PPI data could either reinforce or ease hawkish pressure ahead of the funds rate decision at 3.50-3.75%. Recent strong payroll gains have lifted market-implied hike odds above 60%, sustaining uncertainty over whether additional regional presidents or governors will join the dissent bloc depending on the inflation trajectory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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