Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum, including temporary oil sanctions relief that expired in August, remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR dynamics through December. High Iranian inflation above 80% year-over-year, structural budget pressures, and limited access to foreign currency continue to weigh on the rial, supporting trader consensus around the 2.0-3.0 million range. Uncertainty over a final deal addressing nuclear issues, full sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz normalization creates balanced probabilities across nearby bins, as any verified progress on inspections or asset releases could strengthen the rial while renewed tensions or stalled talks would reinforce depreciation pressures. Federal Reserve policy and global oil supply shifts add further variables within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUSD x Iranian rials End of December?
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
17%
3.5 - 4.0M
5%
4.0M+
5%
2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
$2,081 Wol.
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
$396 Wol.
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
$254 Wol.
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
$181 Wol.
17%
3.5 - 4.0M
$61 Wol.
5%
4.0M+
$61 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum, including temporary oil sanctions relief that expired in August, remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR dynamics through December. High Iranian inflation above 80% year-over-year, structural budget pressures, and limited access to foreign currency continue to weigh on the rial, supporting trader consensus around the 2.0-3.0 million range. Uncertainty over a final deal addressing nuclear issues, full sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz normalization creates balanced probabilities across nearby bins, as any verified progress on inspections or asset releases could strengthen the rial while renewed tensions or stalled talks would reinforce depreciation pressures. Federal Reserve policy and global oil supply shifts add further variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,034Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum, including temporary oil sanctions relief that expired in August, remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR dynamics through December. High Iranian inflation above 80% year-over-year, structural budget pressures, and limited access to foreign currency continue to weigh on the rial, supporting trader consensus around the 2.0-3.0 million range. Uncertainty over a final deal addressing nuclear issues, full sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz normalization creates balanced probabilities across nearby bins, as any verified progress on inspections or asset releases could strengthen the rial while renewed tensions or stalled talks would reinforce depreciation pressures. Federal Reserve policy and global oil supply shifts add further variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Wolumen
$3,034Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the June 2026 memorandum, including temporary oil sanctions relief that expired in August, remain the dominant influence on USD/IRR dynamics through December. High Iranian inflation above 80% year-over-year, structural budget pressures, and limited access to foreign currency continue to weigh on the rial, supporting trader consensus around the 2.0-3.0 million range. Uncertainty over a final deal addressing nuclear issues, full sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz normalization creates balanced probabilities across nearby bins, as any verified progress on inspections or asset releases could strengthen the rial while renewed tensions or stalled talks would reinforce depreciation pressures. Federal Reserve policy and global oil supply shifts add further variables within the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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