IAEA access to Iran's enrichment and storage sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains limited following 2025 military strikes that damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to restrict safeguards cooperation. The Agency has verified unaffected locations multiple times since mid-2025 but has not conducted inspections or design information verifications at the three targeted sites or the Isfahan tunnel complex holding most of Iran's stock of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. In February 2026 the IAEA reported vehicular activity at Isfahan and requested prompt access; by June it had secured a Board resolution urging cooperation while Director General Grossi stated that inspections of nuclear material facilities would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran understanding, though Iranian officials conditioned any visit on a final agreement. Satellite imagery through mid-2026 shows sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the three sites. Ongoing diplomatic talks and any new IAEA-Iran memorandum could determine whether inspectors gain entry before scheduled market resolution dates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$357,095 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
8%
December 31
24%
$357,095 Wol.
August 31
$54,667 Wol.
1%
October 31
$79,992 Wol.
8%
December 31
$29,111 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's enrichment and storage sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains limited following 2025 military strikes that damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to restrict safeguards cooperation. The Agency has verified unaffected locations multiple times since mid-2025 but has not conducted inspections or design information verifications at the three targeted sites or the Isfahan tunnel complex holding most of Iran's stock of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. In February 2026 the IAEA reported vehicular activity at Isfahan and requested prompt access; by June it had secured a Board resolution urging cooperation while Director General Grossi stated that inspections of nuclear material facilities would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran understanding, though Iranian officials conditioned any visit on a final agreement. Satellite imagery through mid-2026 shows sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the three sites. Ongoing diplomatic talks and any new IAEA-Iran memorandum could determine whether inspectors gain entry before scheduled market resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Wolumen
$357,095Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's enrichment and storage sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains limited following 2025 military strikes that damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to restrict safeguards cooperation. The Agency has verified unaffected locations multiple times since mid-2025 but has not conducted inspections or design information verifications at the three targeted sites or the Isfahan tunnel complex holding most of Iran's stock of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. In February 2026 the IAEA reported vehicular activity at Isfahan and requested prompt access; by June it had secured a Board resolution urging cooperation while Director General Grossi stated that inspections of nuclear material facilities would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran understanding, though Iranian officials conditioned any visit on a final agreement. Satellite imagery through mid-2026 shows sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the three sites. Ongoing diplomatic talks and any new IAEA-Iran memorandum could determine whether inspectors gain entry before scheduled market resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$357,095Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's enrichment and storage sites at Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz remains limited following 2025 military strikes that damaged facilities and prompted Tehran to restrict safeguards cooperation. The Agency has verified unaffected locations multiple times since mid-2025 but has not conducted inspections or design information verifications at the three targeted sites or the Isfahan tunnel complex holding most of Iran's stock of uranium enriched to 20% and 60%. In February 2026 the IAEA reported vehicular activity at Isfahan and requested prompt access; by June it had secured a Board resolution urging cooperation while Director General Grossi stated that inspections of nuclear material facilities would occur under an interim U.S.-Iran understanding, though Iranian officials conditioned any visit on a final agreement. Satellite imagery through mid-2026 shows sealed tunnel entrances and no major reconstruction at the three sites. Ongoing diplomatic talks and any new IAEA-Iran memorandum could determine whether inspectors gain entry before scheduled market resolution dates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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