Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
35°C 39%
34°C 31%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
NOWE
$18,486 Wol.
NOWE
$18,486 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
31%
35°C
39%
36°C
21%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 31%
36°C 21%
33°C 9%
NOWE
$18,486 Wol.
NOWE
$18,486 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
$118 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,180 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,533 Wol.
2%
33°C
$2,784 Wol.
9%
34°C
$3,615 Wol.
31%
35°C
$2,757 Wol.
39%
36°C
$1,507 Wol.
21%
37°C
$1,510 Wol.
1%
38°C
$1,686 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$677 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,486Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,486Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 33–35°C for Wuhan on August 18 under subtropical monsoon flow, with the market’s tight split between 35°C and 34°C reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak solar heating. Historical August climatology centers near this range, though steering patterns occasionally allow brief spikes when moisture remains limited. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures below model consensus or permit brief clearing for higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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