Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 18, reflecting a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress typical late-summer heating. This pattern deviates from the long-term August average high of roughly 22–23 °C, concentrating trader probability on 18–20 °C outcomes amid modest model spread over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shower intensity. Official DWD observations at the Munich station will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 18?
19°C 30.3%
20°C 25%
18°C 20.4%
21°C 14%
NOWE
$96,303 Wol.
NOWE
$96,303 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
5%
18°C
20%
19°C
30%
20°C
25%
21°C
14%
22°C
8%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 30.3%
20°C 25%
18°C 20.4%
21°C 14%
NOWE
$96,303 Wol.
NOWE
$96,303 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$11,542 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$13,391 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$8,912 Wol.
5%
18°C
$7,391 Wol.
20%
19°C
$8,457 Wol.
30%
20°C
$6,234 Wol.
25%
21°C
$8,671 Wol.
14%
22°C
$6,876 Wol.
8%
23°C
$6,634 Wol.
2%
24°C
$9,302 Wol.
2%
25°C or higher
$8,894 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 18, reflecting a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress typical late-summer heating. This pattern deviates from the long-term August average high of roughly 22–23 °C, concentrating trader probability on 18–20 °C outcomes amid modest model spread over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shower intensity. Official DWD observations at the Munich station will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$96,303Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 18, reflecting a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress typical late-summer heating. This pattern deviates from the long-term August average high of roughly 22–23 °C, concentrating trader probability on 18–20 °C outcomes amid modest model spread over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shower intensity. Official DWD observations at the Munich station will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$96,303Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD cluster Munich’s maximum temperature near 19–21 °C on August 18, reflecting a strengthening westerly flow that advects cooler maritime air while persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and suppress typical late-summer heating. This pattern deviates from the long-term August average high of roughly 22–23 °C, concentrating trader probability on 18–20 °C outcomes amid modest model spread over exact timing of any breaks in cloud or shower intensity. Official DWD observations at the Munich station will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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