Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, AccuWeather, ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center currently indicate Moscow's August 19 daytime maximum will likely peak near 19–20 °C. This positions those bins as the market leaders at 39.5 % and 21 %, respectively, amid typical late-summer conditions of moderate solar radiation, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that cap afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range around these values, with cooler outcomes (18 °C at 24.5 %) gaining support if thicker cloud or earlier precipitation develops. Historical August averages near 20–22 °C provide context, while the market-implied distribution reflects traders' aggregation of the latest model runs ahead of official station verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 40%
18°C 25%
20°C 22%
17°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
25%
19°C
40%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
18°C 25%
20°C 22%
17°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$1,275 Wol.
2%
17°C
$652 Wol.
10%
18°C
$1,092 Wol.
25%
19°C
$1,174 Wol.
40%
20°C
$2,100 Wol.
22%
21°C
$63 Wol.
7%
22°C
$29 Wol.
2%
23°C
$327 Wol.
1%
24°C
$1,555 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$425 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$265 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, AccuWeather, ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center currently indicate Moscow's August 19 daytime maximum will likely peak near 19–20 °C. This positions those bins as the market leaders at 39.5 % and 21 %, respectively, amid typical late-summer conditions of moderate solar radiation, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that cap afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range around these values, with cooler outcomes (18 °C at 24.5 %) gaining support if thicker cloud or earlier precipitation develops. Historical August averages near 20–22 °C provide context, while the market-implied distribution reflects traders' aggregation of the latest model runs ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,957Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, AccuWeather, ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center currently indicate Moscow's August 19 daytime maximum will likely peak near 19–20 °C. This positions those bins as the market leaders at 39.5 % and 21 %, respectively, amid typical late-summer conditions of moderate solar radiation, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that cap afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range around these values, with cooler outcomes (18 °C at 24.5 %) gaining support if thicker cloud or earlier precipitation develops. Historical August averages near 20–22 °C provide context, while the market-implied distribution reflects traders' aggregation of the latest model runs ahead of official station verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,957Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, AccuWeather, ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center currently indicate Moscow's August 19 daytime maximum will likely peak near 19–20 °C. This positions those bins as the market leaders at 39.5 % and 21 %, respectively, amid typical late-summer conditions of moderate solar radiation, increasing cloud cover, and light winds that cap afternoon heating. Ensemble guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range around these values, with cooler outcomes (18 °C at 24.5 %) gaining support if thicker cloud or earlier precipitation develops. Historical August averages near 20–22 °C provide context, while the market-implied distribution reflects traders' aggregation of the latest model runs ahead of official station verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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