The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 19?
29°C 39%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 39%
28°C 23%
30°C 20%
27°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$186 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$186 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$259 Wol.
2%
26°C
$118 Wol.
4%
27°C
$311 Wol.
7%
28°C
$1,238 Wol.
23%
29°C
$325 Wol.
39%
30°C
$322 Wol.
20%
31°C
$249 Wol.
6%
32°C or higher
$65 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,455Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,455Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's emphasis on 28–30°C stems primarily from the active southwest monsoon, which is expected to increase cloud cover and scattered rainfall over Manila on August 19, limiting daytime heating below the typical 30–31°C August average. PAGASA's latest outlook projects a high near 31°C with a 60% rain probability, aligning with subseasonal guidance for slightly warmer-than-normal conditions offset by monsoon moisture and thunderstorms. This setup favors the 29°C outcome as traders weigh model consensus on convective cooling against historical baselines, with fresh official updates from PAGASA and AccuWeather poised to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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