Latest forecasts from Météo-France and European models position Paris’s August 18 maximum near 26–27°C under stable high pressure and modest southerly warm-air advection, with partly cloudy skies limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer moderation rather than peak heat-wave patterns seen earlier in the season. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, so current guidance reflects only slight positive anomalies. Real-time observations and any afternoon convective development could shift the final recorded high within the narrow 25–28°C band, which explains why trader consensus clusters tightly on the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
26°C 55%
27°C 30%
25°C or below 11%
28°C 5%
$46,707 Wol.
$46,707 Wol.
25°C or below
11%
26°C
55%
27°C
30%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 30%
25°C or below 11%
28°C 5%
$46,707 Wol.
$46,707 Wol.
25°C or below
11%
26°C
55%
27°C
30%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Météo-France and European models position Paris’s August 18 maximum near 26–27°C under stable high pressure and modest southerly warm-air advection, with partly cloudy skies limiting further warming. These conditions align with late-summer moderation rather than peak heat-wave patterns seen earlier in the season. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, so current guidance reflects only slight positive anomalies. Real-time observations and any afternoon convective development could shift the final recorded high within the narrow 25–28°C band, which explains why trader consensus clusters tightly on the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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