Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 19?
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$191 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$603 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$75 Wol.
1%
30°C
$24 Wol.
5%
31°C
$183 Wol.
8%
32°C
$1,530 Wol.
23%
33°C
$468 Wol.
32%
34°C
$233 Wol.
24%
35°C
$523 Wol.
8%
36°C
$109 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$93 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,032Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,032Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate daily maximum temperatures near 32–34°C in Shenzhen on August 19, shaped by typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C, highlights uncertainty in the timing and intensity of convective activity versus daytime insolation. Historical August averages around 32°C provide context, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or urban heat island effects could nudge readings higher or lower depending on model consensus updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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