Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow will produce a daily maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on September 2, with afternoon readings peaking around that level under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. This consensus, little changed in the past 48 hours, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome while allowing modest spread into 15 °C or 17 °C if boundary-layer mixing or timing of peak insolation shifts slightly. Historical September maxima average near 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the narrow 15–17 °C band, with limited scope for larger deviations absent a rapid model adjustment before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
19%
16°C
65%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 19%
17°C 13%
18°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$295 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$313 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$397 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$258 Wol.
1%
14°C
$285 Wol.
2%
15°C
$1,853 Wol.
19%
16°C
$577 Wol.
65%
17°C
$311 Wol.
13%
18°C
$111 Wol.
4%
19°C
$227 Wol.
1%
20°C or higher
$222 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow will produce a daily maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on September 2, with afternoon readings peaking around that level under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. This consensus, little changed in the past 48 hours, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome while allowing modest spread into 15 °C or 17 °C if boundary-layer mixing or timing of peak insolation shifts slightly. Historical September maxima average near 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the narrow 15–17 °C band, with limited scope for larger deviations absent a rapid model adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,849Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow will produce a daily maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on September 2, with afternoon readings peaking around that level under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. This consensus, little changed in the past 48 hours, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome while allowing modest spread into 15 °C or 17 °C if boundary-layer mixing or timing of peak insolation shifts slightly. Historical September maxima average near 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the narrow 15–17 °C band, with limited scope for larger deviations absent a rapid model adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,849Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a northwesterly flow will produce a daily maximum near 15–16 °C in Wellington on September 2, with afternoon readings peaking around that level under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. This consensus, little changed in the past 48 hours, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome while allowing modest spread into 15 °C or 17 °C if boundary-layer mixing or timing of peak insolation shifts slightly. Historical September maxima average near 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents above-normal warmth driven by the wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the narrow 15–17 °C band, with limited scope for larger deviations absent a rapid model adjustment before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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