Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions. Light winds combined with typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, keeping temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 31°C. These model outputs align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (66.5%) over 31°C (32.5%), as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical of high-resolution coastal forecasts. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance to push probabilities toward 33°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 66%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
NOWE
$13,558 Wol.
NOWE
$13,558 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
66%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 66%
31°C 33%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
NOWE
$13,558 Wol.
NOWE
$13,558 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,442 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$576 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,211 Wol.
2%
31°C
$2,355 Wol.
33%
32°C
$3,483 Wol.
66%
33°C
$1,186 Wol.
3%
34°C
$940 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,187 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$311 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$326 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions. Light winds combined with typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, keeping temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 31°C. These model outputs align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (66.5%) over 31°C (32.5%), as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical of high-resolution coastal forecasts. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance to push probabilities toward 33°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,558Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions. Light winds combined with typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, keeping temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 31°C. These model outputs align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (66.5%) over 31°C (32.5%), as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical of high-resolution coastal forecasts. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance to push probabilities toward 33°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,558Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and regional Mediterranean models project a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable mid-August conditions. Light winds combined with typical sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean limit further warming, keeping temperatures near the long-term August average of roughly 31°C. These model outputs align with the market-implied odds favoring 32°C (66.5%) over 31°C (32.5%), as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty range typical of high-resolution coastal forecasts. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance to push probabilities toward 33°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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