Recent official forecasts from INMET and international numerical models indicate stable high-pressure systems and clear, sunny conditions over southeastern Brazil, positioning São Paulo for a maximum near 31°C on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (43%) and 32°C (33%), as temperatures run above the typical August climatological range of 23–27°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds favor modest daytime warming, though model consensus leaves room for slight revisions in final observations before market resolution. Traders appear to weigh historical analogs against the current atmospheric setup, with upcoming INMET updates likely to refine the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
31°C 51%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
43%
32°C
33%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 51%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$27 Wol.
1%
28°C
$70 Wol.
2%
29°C
$35 Wol.
3%
30°C
$192 Wol.
17%
31°C
$221 Wol.
43%
32°C
$45 Wol.
33%
33°C
$39 Wol.
7%
34°C
$25 Wol.
5%
35°C
$5 Wol.
5%
36°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from INMET and international numerical models indicate stable high-pressure systems and clear, sunny conditions over southeastern Brazil, positioning São Paulo for a maximum near 31°C on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (43%) and 32°C (33%), as temperatures run above the typical August climatological range of 23–27°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds favor modest daytime warming, though model consensus leaves room for slight revisions in final observations before market resolution. Traders appear to weigh historical analogs against the current atmospheric setup, with upcoming INMET updates likely to refine the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$670Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from INMET and international numerical models indicate stable high-pressure systems and clear, sunny conditions over southeastern Brazil, positioning São Paulo for a maximum near 31°C on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (43%) and 32°C (33%), as temperatures run above the typical August climatological range of 23–27°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds favor modest daytime warming, though model consensus leaves room for slight revisions in final observations before market resolution. Traders appear to weigh historical analogs against the current atmospheric setup, with upcoming INMET updates likely to refine the outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$670Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from INMET and international numerical models indicate stable high-pressure systems and clear, sunny conditions over southeastern Brazil, positioning São Paulo for a maximum near 31°C on August 19 amid the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season. These conditions support the market's leading implied probabilities for 31°C (43%) and 32°C (33%), as temperatures run above the typical August climatological range of 23–27°C. Minimal precipitation risk and light winds favor modest daytime warming, though model consensus leaves room for slight revisions in final observations before market resolution. Traders appear to weigh historical analogs against the current atmospheric setup, with upcoming INMET updates likely to refine the outlook.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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