Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place Houston's August 19 high temperature in the upper 90s, sustaining trader consensus near even odds between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture favor mostly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 94°F, making current guidance 3-5°F above normal and highlighting sensitivity to subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift market-implied odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 19?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 19?
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 10%
106-107°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
4%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 10%
106-107°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
89°F or below
$38 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$10 Wol.
3%
92-93°F
$17 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$132 Wol.
4%
96-97°F
$200 Wol.
45%
98-99°F
$48 Wol.
44%
100-101°F
$98 Wol.
10%
102-103°F
$17 Wol.
4%
104-105°F
$22 Wol.
<1%
106-107°F
$10 Wol.
4%
108°F or higher
$53 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place Houston's August 19 high temperature in the upper 90s, sustaining trader consensus near even odds between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture favor mostly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 94°F, making current guidance 3-5°F above normal and highlighting sensitivity to subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$647Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place Houston's August 19 high temperature in the upper 90s, sustaining trader consensus near even odds between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture favor mostly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 94°F, making current guidance 3-5°F above normal and highlighting sensitivity to subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$647Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs place Houston's August 19 high temperature in the upper 90s, sustaining trader consensus near even odds between the 96-97°F and 98-99°F bins. Persistent high pressure and above-average Gulf moisture favor mostly sunny conditions with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the peak by 1-2°F. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 94°F, making current guidance 3-5°F above normal and highlighting sensitivity to subtle steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could shift market-implied odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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