Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City indicates afternoon highs centered near 24–26°C, driven by the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate during peak rainy season, where frequent cloud build-up and scattered showers typically cap daytime warming. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because subtle variations in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C and 26°C precisely because ensemble runs and historical analogs cluster there, while slightly warmer 27°C outcomes remain plausible only if clearer skies and lighter winds materialize on August 19.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
26°C 35%
25°C 32%
27°C 25%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
32%
26°C
35%
27°C
25%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 32%
27°C 25%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$7 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
5%
24°C
$11 Wol.
8%
25°C
$1 Wol.
32%
26°C
$45 Wol.
35%
27°C
$12 Wol.
25%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C
$10 Wol.
6%
30°C
$10 Wol.
3%
31°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$10 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City indicates afternoon highs centered near 24–26°C, driven by the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate during peak rainy season, where frequent cloud build-up and scattered showers typically cap daytime warming. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because subtle variations in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C and 26°C precisely because ensemble runs and historical analogs cluster there, while slightly warmer 27°C outcomes remain plausible only if clearer skies and lighter winds materialize on August 19.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$111Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City indicates afternoon highs centered near 24–26°C, driven by the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate during peak rainy season, where frequent cloud build-up and scattered showers typically cap daytime warming. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because subtle variations in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C and 26°C precisely because ensemble runs and historical analogs cluster there, while slightly warmer 27°C outcomes remain plausible only if clearer skies and lighter winds materialize on August 19.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$111Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City indicates afternoon highs centered near 24–26°C, driven by the city’s high-elevation subtropical highland climate during peak rainy season, where frequent cloud build-up and scattered showers typically cap daytime warming. Model consensus shows modest spread around these values because subtle variations in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 25°C and 26°C precisely because ensemble runs and historical analogs cluster there, while slightly warmer 27°C outcomes remain plausible only if clearer skies and lighter winds materialize on August 19.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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