Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's peak in Mexico City, consistent with official forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting a high near 25–26°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and mid-August rainy-season dynamics—driven by tropical waves and typical monsoon moisture—keep temperatures below historical peaks, with daily highs averaging 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited warming potential, aligning with the 78.5% implied probability while assigning only modest odds to 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and short-range ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
26°C 84%
27°C 7%
28°C 5%
29°C <1%
$15,728 Wol.
$15,728 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
84%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 84%
27°C 7%
28°C 5%
29°C <1%
$15,728 Wol.
$15,728 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$479 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$748 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$774 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$1,366 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$2,642 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5,567 Wol.
84%
27°C
$1,322 Wol.
7%
28°C
$1,421 Wol.
5%
29°C
$689 Wol.
1%
30°C
$415 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$461 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's peak in Mexico City, consistent with official forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting a high near 25–26°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and mid-August rainy-season dynamics—driven by tropical waves and typical monsoon moisture—keep temperatures below historical peaks, with daily highs averaging 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited warming potential, aligning with the 78.5% implied probability while assigning only modest odds to 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and short-range ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,728Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's peak in Mexico City, consistent with official forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting a high near 25–26°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and mid-August rainy-season dynamics—driven by tropical waves and typical monsoon moisture—keep temperatures below historical peaks, with daily highs averaging 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited warming potential, aligning with the 78.5% implied probability while assigning only modest odds to 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and short-range ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,728Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C as the day's peak in Mexico City, consistent with official forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate projecting a high near 25–26°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation and mid-August rainy-season dynamics—driven by tropical waves and typical monsoon moisture—keep temperatures below historical peaks, with daily highs averaging 23–25°C. Recent model runs show limited warming potential, aligning with the 78.5% implied probability while assigning only modest odds to 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and short-range ensembles will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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