Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF places Moscow's peak temperature on August 17 near 23°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with observed morning readings and diurnal heating trends typical for mid-August in the region, where historical averages hover around 22–24°C. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects converging forecast guidance with low uncertainty ranges, though an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations could still shift the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
23°C 100.0%
$42,017 Wol.
$42,017 Wol.
23°C
100%
23°C 100.0%
$42,017 Wol.
$42,017 Wol.
23°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF places Moscow's peak temperature on August 17 near 23°C under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This aligns with observed morning readings and diurnal heating trends typical for mid-August in the region, where historical averages hover around 22–24°C. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects converging forecast guidance with low uncertainty ranges, though an unexpected frontal passage or measurement anomaly at official stations could still shift the final recorded high.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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