**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 36°C daily maximum in Taipei on August 5, 2026, reflecting Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus pointing to continued summer heat under subtropical high pressure.** Typical August conditions feature daytime highs averaging 32–34°C with high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the basin topography, occasionally pushing peaks to 36–37°C during clear or partly cloudy periods with light winds. Recent observations show Taipei reached 36°C on August 1, and current short-range guidance indicates similar or slightly moderated values around 34–36°C for August 5, with afternoon convection possible but unlikely to suppress the peak substantially. The 60.5% implied probability on 36°C, alongside secondary support for 35°C and 37°C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in official temperature outlooks and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as a typhoon or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 5?
36°C 61%
35°C 19%
37°C 15%
34°C 3%
NOWE
$17,116 Wol.
NOWE
$17,116 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
19%
36°C
61%
37°C
15%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 61%
35°C 19%
37°C 15%
34°C 3%
NOWE
$17,116 Wol.
NOWE
$17,116 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
29°C or below
$687 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$389 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,904 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,569 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,333 Wol.
2%
34°C
$939 Wol.
3%
35°C
$2,494 Wol.
19%
36°C
$2,991 Wol.
61%
37°C
$2,186 Wol.
15%
38°C
$557 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,066 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 36°C daily maximum in Taipei on August 5, 2026, reflecting Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus pointing to continued summer heat under subtropical high pressure.**
Typical August conditions feature daytime highs averaging 32–34°C with high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the basin topography, occasionally pushing peaks to 36–37°C during clear or partly cloudy periods with light winds. Recent observations show Taipei reached 36°C on August 1, and current short-range guidance indicates similar or slightly moderated values around 34–36°C for August 5, with afternoon convection possible but unlikely to suppress the peak substantially. The 60.5% implied probability on 36°C, alongside secondary support for 35°C and 37°C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in official temperature outlooks and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as a typhoon or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,116Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 36°C daily maximum in Taipei on August 5, 2026, reflecting Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus pointing to continued summer heat under subtropical high pressure.**
Typical August conditions feature daytime highs averaging 32–34°C with high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the basin topography, occasionally pushing peaks to 36–37°C during clear or partly cloudy periods with light winds. Recent observations show Taipei reached 36°C on August 1, and current short-range guidance indicates similar or slightly moderated values around 34–36°C for August 5, with afternoon convection possible but unlikely to suppress the peak substantially. The 60.5% implied probability on 36°C, alongside secondary support for 35°C and 37°C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in official temperature outlooks and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as a typhoon or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,116Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a 36°C daily maximum in Taipei on August 5, 2026, reflecting Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus pointing to continued summer heat under subtropical high pressure.** Typical August conditions feature daytime highs averaging 32–34°C with high humidity and urban heat-island effects in the basin topography, occasionally pushing peaks to 36–37°C during clear or partly cloudy periods with light winds. Recent observations show Taipei reached 36°C on August 1, and current short-range guidance indicates similar or slightly moderated values around 34–36°C for August 5, with afternoon convection possible but unlikely to suppress the peak substantially. The 60.5% implied probability on 36°C, alongside secondary support for 35°C and 37°C, aligns with the narrow uncertainty band in official temperature outlooks and the absence of strong cooling mechanisms such as a typhoon or frontal passage. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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