Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 35–36°C for Taipei on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain 35°C outcome at 99.3% implied probability. Early August climatology shows typical highs of 32–34°C amid subtropical humidity and urban heat effects, but recent model runs and observational trends favor the upper range without exceeding it. Historical August peaks rarely surpass 36°C absent typhoon influences, which are not indicated. The primary variables that could shift resolution include late-day convective cooling or revised official readings from central stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
35°C 99.3%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$33,813 Wol.
$33,813 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.3%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$33,813 Wol.
$33,813 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$307 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$433 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$420 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$1,615 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,513 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$2,671 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$8,827 Wol.
99%
36°C
$4,666 Wol.
1%
37°C
$5,221 Wol.
1%
38°C
$4,098 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$4,041 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 35–36°C for Taipei on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain 35°C outcome at 99.3% implied probability. Early August climatology shows typical highs of 32–34°C amid subtropical humidity and urban heat effects, but recent model runs and observational trends favor the upper range without exceeding it. Historical August peaks rarely surpass 36°C absent typhoon influences, which are not indicated. The primary variables that could shift resolution include late-day convective cooling or revised official readings from central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,813Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 35–36°C for Taipei on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain 35°C outcome at 99.3% implied probability. Early August climatology shows typical highs of 32–34°C amid subtropical humidity and urban heat effects, but recent model runs and observational trends favor the upper range without exceeding it. Historical August peaks rarely surpass 36°C absent typhoon influences, which are not indicated. The primary variables that could shift resolution include late-day convective cooling or revised official readings from central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$33,813Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 35–36°C for Taipei on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain 35°C outcome at 99.3% implied probability. Early August climatology shows typical highs of 32–34°C amid subtropical humidity and urban heat effects, but recent model runs and observational trends favor the upper range without exceeding it. Historical August peaks rarely surpass 36°C absent typhoon influences, which are not indicated. The primary variables that could shift resolution include late-day convective cooling or revised official readings from central stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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