Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% implied probability for that outcome and 23.5% for 32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and scattered convective activity with 25-50% thunderstorm chances could suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 30-31°C cluster while limiting upside to 33°C or higher. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on precipitation timing introduces the observed distribution across 29-34°C. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
31°C 34%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
22%
31°C
34%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 34%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$223 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$223 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$207 Wol.
1%
28°C
$116 Wol.
4%
29°C
$183 Wol.
7%
30°C
$2,367 Wol.
22%
31°C
$1,467 Wol.
34%
32°C
$692 Wol.
24%
33°C
$158 Wol.
11%
34°C
$275 Wol.
3%
35°C or higher
$20 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% implied probability for that outcome and 23.5% for 32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and scattered convective activity with 25-50% thunderstorm chances could suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 30-31°C cluster while limiting upside to 33°C or higher. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on precipitation timing introduces the observed distribution across 29-34°C. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,915Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% implied probability for that outcome and 23.5% for 32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and scattered convective activity with 25-50% thunderstorm chances could suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 30-31°C cluster while limiting upside to 33°C or higher. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on precipitation timing introduces the observed distribution across 29-34°C. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,915Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including NOAA-aligned and regional agencies converge on a maximum temperature near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 14, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% implied probability for that outcome and 23.5% for 32°C. Persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70-85%, and scattered convective activity with 25-50% thunderstorm chances could suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 30-31°C cluster while limiting upside to 33°C or higher. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model spread on precipitation timing introduces the observed distribution across 29-34°C. Updated runs from monitoring agencies will refine resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania