Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a high near 81–84°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–85°F brackets amid August’s 83°F climatological average. Key differentiating factors include model consensus on modest southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°F locally, offset by potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation or timing of peak insolation. Recent short-range guidance shows minimal spread in maximum temperature projections, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could tip the observed high between adjacent bins at Central Park or LaGuardia. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 4?
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 12%
$25,455 Wol.
$25,455 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 39%
82-83°F 33%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 12%
$25,455 Wol.
$25,455 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
73°F or below
$483 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$508 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$836 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,091 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$4,527 Wol.
17%
82-83°F
$2,612 Wol.
33%
84-85°F
$3,955 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$3,208 Wol.
12%
88-89°F
$2,801 Wol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,666 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$769 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a high near 81–84°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–85°F brackets amid August’s 83°F climatological average. Key differentiating factors include model consensus on modest southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°F locally, offset by potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation or timing of peak insolation. Recent short-range guidance shows minimal spread in maximum temperature projections, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could tip the observed high between adjacent bins at Central Park or LaGuardia. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,455Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a high near 81–84°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–85°F brackets amid August’s 83°F climatological average. Key differentiating factors include model consensus on modest southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°F locally, offset by potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation or timing of peak insolation. Recent short-range guidance shows minimal spread in maximum temperature projections, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could tip the observed high between adjacent bins at Central Park or LaGuardia. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,455Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a high near 81–84°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with trader emphasis on the 82–85°F brackets amid August’s 83°F climatological average. Key differentiating factors include model consensus on modest southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°F locally, offset by potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation or timing of peak insolation. Recent short-range guidance shows minimal spread in maximum temperature projections, yet small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind could tip the observed high between adjacent bins at Central Park or LaGuardia. Updated model runs and official observations will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania