Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Moscow's August 21 high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima fall to 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and cooler Atlantic-influenced flows become more frequent. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, keeping 24°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes as outliers absent an unexpected ridge or frontal passage. Traders weight these near-term model runs heavily, producing the observed concentration of implied probability around 22–23°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
13%
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
6%
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$593 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$393 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Wol.
2%
20°C
$20 Wol.
8%
21°C
$3 Wol.
13%
22°C
$66 Wol.
34%
23°C
$261 Wol.
45%
24°C
$0 Wol.
12%
25°C
$5 Wol.
4%
26°C or higher
$32 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Moscow's August 21 high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima fall to 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and cooler Atlantic-influenced flows become more frequent. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, keeping 24°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes as outliers absent an unexpected ridge or frontal passage. Traders weight these near-term model runs heavily, producing the observed concentration of implied probability around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,521Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Moscow's August 21 high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima fall to 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and cooler Atlantic-influenced flows become more frequent. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, keeping 24°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes as outliers absent an unexpected ridge or frontal passage. Traders weight these near-term model runs heavily, producing the observed concentration of implied probability around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,521Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather project Moscow's August 21 high near 22–23°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where average daily maxima fall to 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and cooler Atlantic-influenced flows become more frequent. Ensemble guidance shows low probability of significant deviation, keeping 24°C+ or sub-21°C outcomes as outliers absent an unexpected ridge or frontal passage. Traders weight these near-term model runs heavily, producing the observed concentration of implied probability around 22–23°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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