Current forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight monsoon-driven moisture and daytime heating as the main drivers behind potential rainfall on August 19, 2026, particularly across the Southwest U.S. where atmospheric instability supports afternoon thunderstorms. In regions like central Arizona, official outlooks note limited coverage with trace to 0.25 inches possible during the 3–10 p.m. window, tied to wind gusts and localized heavy rain. Broader model consensus shows scattered convective cells dependent on steering patterns and orographic lift, with higher probabilities where dew points remain elevated. Traders should monitor real-time radar and updated NWS briefings, as small shifts in timing or track can alter resolution outcomes for specific locations. Historical August patterns indicate such events often remain isolated rather than widespread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhere will it rain on August 19?

New York, NY
50%

Los Angeles, CA
51%

Chicago, IL
50%

Houston, TX
50%

Dallas, TX
50%

Phoenix, AZ
51%

Philadelphia, PA
50%

Denver, CO
50%

Washington, DC
50%

Atlanta, GA
50%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
50%

Boston, MA
50%

New Orleans, LA
50%

San Francisco, CA
50%
$0.00 Wol.

New York, NY
50%

Los Angeles, CA
51%

Chicago, IL
50%

Houston, TX
50%

Dallas, TX
50%

Phoenix, AZ
51%

Philadelphia, PA
50%

Denver, CO
50%

Washington, DC
50%

Atlanta, GA
50%

Miami, FL
50%

Seattle, WA
50%

Boston, MA
50%

New Orleans, LA
50%

San Francisco, CA
50%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight monsoon-driven moisture and daytime heating as the main drivers behind potential rainfall on August 19, 2026, particularly across the Southwest U.S. where atmospheric instability supports afternoon thunderstorms. In regions like central Arizona, official outlooks note limited coverage with trace to 0.25 inches possible during the 3–10 p.m. window, tied to wind gusts and localized heavy rain. Broader model consensus shows scattered convective cells dependent on steering patterns and orographic lift, with higher probabilities where dew points remain elevated. Traders should monitor real-time radar and updated NWS briefings, as small shifts in timing or track can alter resolution outcomes for specific locations. Historical August patterns indicate such events often remain isolated rather than widespread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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