Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and similar agencies project Warsaw’s August 21 maximum near 25 °C under light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest late-summer cooling trend, producing the tight clustering around the 25–26 °C market bins. Differences among these outcomes hinge on afternoon insolation, the timing and extent of scattered showers that can suppress peak readings, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection. With model consensus favoring 24–26 °C and only limited upside potential for 27 °C or higher under clearer skies, trader sentiment reflects the narrow scientific uncertainty in these near-term variables. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 21?
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
31%
26°C
39%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
4%
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
27°C 16%
24°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$482 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$492 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$292 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$13 Wol.
1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$33 Wol.
3%
24°C
$19 Wol.
8%
25°C
$21 Wol.
31%
26°C
$73 Wol.
39%
27°C
$97 Wol.
16%
28°C or higher
$8 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and similar agencies project Warsaw’s August 21 maximum near 25 °C under light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest late-summer cooling trend, producing the tight clustering around the 25–26 °C market bins. Differences among these outcomes hinge on afternoon insolation, the timing and extent of scattered showers that can suppress peak readings, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection. With model consensus favoring 24–26 °C and only limited upside potential for 27 °C or higher under clearer skies, trader sentiment reflects the narrow scientific uncertainty in these near-term variables. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,531Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and similar agencies project Warsaw’s August 21 maximum near 25 °C under light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest late-summer cooling trend, producing the tight clustering around the 25–26 °C market bins. Differences among these outcomes hinge on afternoon insolation, the timing and extent of scattered showers that can suppress peak readings, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection. With model consensus favoring 24–26 °C and only limited upside potential for 27 °C or higher under clearer skies, trader sentiment reflects the narrow scientific uncertainty in these near-term variables. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,531Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and similar agencies project Warsaw’s August 21 maximum near 25 °C under light southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and a modest late-summer cooling trend, producing the tight clustering around the 25–26 °C market bins. Differences among these outcomes hinge on afternoon insolation, the timing and extent of scattered showers that can suppress peak readings, and subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and advection. With model consensus favoring 24–26 °C and only limited upside potential for 27 °C or higher under clearer skies, trader sentiment reflects the narrow scientific uncertainty in these near-term variables. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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