Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and AccuWeather model runs point to persistent hot, humid monsoon conditions over Karachi, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 31–33 °C on August 21. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and variable cloud cover from Bay of Bengal moisture are the dominant moderators, limiting radiative heating while scattered thundershowers could further cap peaks. Historical climatology places late-August averages around 32 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping 32 °C narrowly ahead in trader pricing. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles on 20–21 August remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds among the tightly clustered 31–33 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on August 21?
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
35°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
35°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
47%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and AccuWeather model runs point to persistent hot, humid monsoon conditions over Karachi, with daytime maxima most likely settling near 31–33 °C on August 21. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and variable cloud cover from Bay of Bengal moisture are the dominant moderators, limiting radiative heating while scattered thundershowers could further cap peaks. Historical climatology places late-August averages around 32 °C, and current ensemble guidance shows limited spread, keeping 32 °C narrowly ahead in trader pricing. Updated PMD briefings and next model cycles on 20–21 August remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds among the tightly clustered 31–33 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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