Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 20 point to a sunny and hot day with a high near 95°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 50.5% implied probability on 92-93°F and 36.5% on 94-95°F. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea surface temperatures have sustained recent mid-90s readings, including a 96°F observation on August 14 that broke a long-standing daily record. Typical August climatology centers near 89-91°F, but current model consensus favors limited moderation from sea breezes or scattered convection rather than significant cooling. Traders weigh these factors against uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity, with new NWS updates expected overnight as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 20?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
83°F or below
$125 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$362 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$345 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$261 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$735 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$801 Wol.
46%
94-95°F
$770 Wol.
44%
96-97°F
$1,217 Wol.
9%
98-99°F
$226 Wol.
1%
100-101°F
$93 Wol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 20 point to a sunny and hot day with a high near 95°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 50.5% implied probability on 92-93°F and 36.5% on 94-95°F. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea surface temperatures have sustained recent mid-90s readings, including a 96°F observation on August 14 that broke a long-standing daily record. Typical August climatology centers near 89-91°F, but current model consensus favors limited moderation from sea breezes or scattered convection rather than significant cooling. Traders weigh these factors against uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity, with new NWS updates expected overnight as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,979Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 20 point to a sunny and hot day with a high near 95°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 50.5% implied probability on 92-93°F and 36.5% on 94-95°F. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea surface temperatures have sustained recent mid-90s readings, including a 96°F observation on August 14 that broke a long-standing daily record. Typical August climatology centers near 89-91°F, but current model consensus favors limited moderation from sea breezes or scattered convection rather than significant cooling. Traders weigh these factors against uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity, with new NWS updates expected overnight as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,979Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 20 point to a sunny and hot day with a high near 95°F, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 50.5% implied probability on 92-93°F and 36.5% on 94-95°F. Persistent subtropical ridging and above-average sea surface temperatures have sustained recent mid-90s readings, including a 96°F observation on August 14 that broke a long-standing daily record. Typical August climatology centers near 89-91°F, but current model consensus favors limited moderation from sea breezes or scattered convection rather than significant cooling. Traders weigh these factors against uncertainty in afternoon thunderstorm timing and intensity, with new NWS updates expected overnight as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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