Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows stabilizing near 80–81°F through August 20 amid persistent subtropical warmth, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where the long-term average low reaches 80°F due to the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and urban heat retention. Model consensus indicates no incoming cold fronts or significant thunderstorm outflows to depress minimums below this range, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F while leaving modest room for 78–79°F if localized cooling develops. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 20?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 23%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
23%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 23%
76-77°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$750 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$181 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$191 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$36 Wol.
5%
78-79°F
$35 Wol.
24%
80-81°F
$80 Wol.
48%
82-83°F
$223 Wol.
23%
84-85°F
$113 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$22 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$660 Wol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$716 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows stabilizing near 80–81°F through August 20 amid persistent subtropical warmth, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where the long-term average low reaches 80°F due to the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and urban heat retention. Model consensus indicates no incoming cold fronts or significant thunderstorm outflows to depress minimums below this range, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F while leaving modest room for 78–79°F if localized cooling develops. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,863Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows stabilizing near 80–81°F through August 20 amid persistent subtropical warmth, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where the long-term average low reaches 80°F due to the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and urban heat retention. Model consensus indicates no incoming cold fronts or significant thunderstorm outflows to depress minimums below this range, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F while leaving modest room for 78–79°F if localized cooling develops. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,863Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami shows overnight lows stabilizing near 80–81°F through August 20 amid persistent subtropical warmth, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where the long-term average low reaches 80°F due to the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and urban heat retention. Model consensus indicates no incoming cold fronts or significant thunderstorm outflows to depress minimums below this range, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 80–81°F while leaving modest room for 78–79°F if localized cooling develops. Updated forecast discussions and radar trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania