**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors capping Lucknow's peak temperature near 32°C on September 14, 2026.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional analyses, project a daytime high of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–90%), and 30–85% rain chances, with peaks expected in the early afternoon. This aligns with the market-implied 55.5% probability for 32°C and 26.5% for 33°C, as recent observations show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 25–27°C but stalling due to convective activity. Historical mid-September baselines in Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, and current steering patterns plus moisture influx continue to suppress stronger heating. Updated model runs and IMD briefings later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
32°C 56%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
56%
33°C
25%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 56%
33°C 25%
31°C 15%
34°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$483 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$383 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$806 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$426 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$198 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$198 Wol.
2%
31°C
$606 Wol.
15%
32°C
$2,261 Wol.
56%
33°C
$1,126 Wol.
25%
34°C
$910 Wol.
6%
35°C or higher
$377 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors capping Lucknow's peak temperature near 32°C on September 14, 2026.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional analyses, project a daytime high of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–90%), and 30–85% rain chances, with peaks expected in the early afternoon. This aligns with the market-implied 55.5% probability for 32°C and 26.5% for 33°C, as recent observations show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 25–27°C but stalling due to convective activity. Historical mid-September baselines in Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, and current steering patterns plus moisture influx continue to suppress stronger heating. Updated model runs and IMD briefings later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,762Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors capping Lucknow's peak temperature near 32°C on September 14, 2026.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional analyses, project a daytime high of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–90%), and 30–85% rain chances, with peaks expected in the early afternoon. This aligns with the market-implied 55.5% probability for 32°C and 26.5% for 33°C, as recent observations show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 25–27°C but stalling due to convective activity. Historical mid-September baselines in Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, and current steering patterns plus moisture influx continue to suppress stronger heating. Updated model runs and IMD briefings later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,762Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors capping Lucknow's peak temperature near 32°C on September 14, 2026.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional analyses, project a daytime high of 32–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, high humidity (70–90%), and 30–85% rain chances, with peaks expected in the early afternoon. This aligns with the market-implied 55.5% probability for 32°C and 26.5% for 33°C, as recent observations show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 25–27°C but stalling due to convective activity. Historical mid-September baselines in Lucknow hover around 32–34°C, and current steering patterns plus moisture influx continue to suppress stronger heating. Updated model runs and IMD briefings later today remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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