Traders are pricing 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 24 high, reflecting current forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department that points to seasonal August norms of roughly 31–33°C under humid monsoonal flow. Persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with above-average cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, continue to cap daytime heating near recent observed values of 32°C. AccuWeather’s monthly guidance shows a narrow envelope of 30.7–34.2°C for the month, while extended forecasts for the 24th hover around 31–32°C with only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34°C spike. This tight clustering explains the heavy weighting on the middle outcomes and limited probability assigned to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 47%
32°C 31%
34°C 14%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
47%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 31%
34°C 14%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
47%
34°C
14%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing 32–33°C as the dominant outcomes for Karachi’s August 24 high, reflecting current forecast consensus from models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department that points to seasonal August norms of roughly 31–33°C under humid monsoonal flow. Persistent southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, combined with above-average cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, continue to cap daytime heating near recent observed values of 32°C. AccuWeather’s monthly guidance shows a narrow envelope of 30.7–34.2°C for the month, while extended forecasts for the 24th hover around 31–32°C with only modest potential for brief clearing that could allow a 34°C spike. This tight clustering explains the heavy weighting on the middle outcomes and limited probability assigned to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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