Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional services point to a daytime high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature modest solar insolation, variable influence from the South Atlantic anticyclone, and potential for weak cold fronts or Pampero winds that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, with day-to-day spreads driven by cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from official stations, where even small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could resolve between the leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 4?
16°C 34%
17°C 32%
15°C 19%
14°C 8%
$23,910 Wol.
$23,910 Wol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
34%
17°C
32%
18°C
6%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 34%
17°C 32%
15°C 19%
14°C 8%
$23,910 Wol.
$23,910 Wol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
34%
17°C
32%
18°C
6%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional services point to a daytime high near 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature modest solar insolation, variable influence from the South Atlantic anticyclone, and potential for weak cold fronts or Pampero winds that can suppress or briefly elevate maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 15–17°C, with day-to-day spreads driven by cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from official stations, where even small shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could resolve between the leading probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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