**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
26°C 54%
27°C 37%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NOWE
$15,201 Wol.
NOWE
$15,201 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27°C
37%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 37%
25°C 9%
28°C 2%
NOWE
$15,201 Wol.
NOWE
$15,201 Wol.
Sep 14, 2026
22°C or below
$420 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$620 Wol.
1%
24°C
$890 Wol.
1%
25°C
$4,226 Wol.
9%
26°C
$1,599 Wol.
54%
27°C
$5,414 Wol.
37%
28°C
$1,235 Wol.
2%
29°C
$362 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$145 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,201Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,201Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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