Recent official forecasts from sources including Yr and Pogoda1 indicate a peak of 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning this as the market favorite at 77.5% implied probability. Afternoon model runs show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 16–18°C to afternoon maxima around 32–33°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Minor model spread toward 34°C or 32°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on those outcomes, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow observed range and stable high-pressure setup. Updated regional guidance expected later today will refine the precise hourly peak relevant to market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 13?
33°C 76%
32°C 19%
34°C 1.9%
31°C <1%
$24,151 Wol.
$24,151 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
24%
33°C
76%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 76%
32°C 19%
34°C 1.9%
31°C <1%
$24,151 Wol.
$24,151 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
27°C or below
$847 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$805 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$947 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,126 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$2,745 Wol.
1%
32°C
$6,355 Wol.
24%
33°C
$5,214 Wol.
76%
34°C
$3,075 Wol.
2%
35°C
$1,345 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$587 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,105 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Yr and Pogoda1 indicate a peak of 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning this as the market favorite at 77.5% implied probability. Afternoon model runs show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 16–18°C to afternoon maxima around 32–33°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Minor model spread toward 34°C or 32°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on those outcomes, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow observed range and stable high-pressure setup. Updated regional guidance expected later today will refine the precise hourly peak relevant to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,151Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including Yr and Pogoda1 indicate a peak of 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning this as the market favorite at 77.5% implied probability. Afternoon model runs show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 16–18°C to afternoon maxima around 32–33°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Minor model spread toward 34°C or 32°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on those outcomes, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow observed range and stable high-pressure setup. Updated regional guidance expected later today will refine the precise hourly peak relevant to market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$24,151Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including Yr and Pogoda1 indicate a peak of 33°C in Ankara on September 13 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, positioning this as the market favorite at 77.5% implied probability. Afternoon model runs show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 16–18°C to afternoon maxima around 32–33°C, consistent with late-summer continental conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture. Minor model spread toward 34°C or 32°C accounts for the smaller probabilities on those outcomes, while the low odds on extremes reflect the narrow observed range and stable high-pressure setup. Updated regional guidance expected later today will refine the precise hourly peak relevant to market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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