Traders have priced moderate tweet volumes in the 40-64 range as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 20-22 because recent quiet stretches show his baseline cadence settling near that level absent major catalysts. With no confirmed Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies scheduled in the immediate window, market-implied odds reflect routine engagement patterns that have produced similar short-window totals in prior August periods. The secondary <40 bin draws support from weekend timing and historical data showing slower posting when business news cycles are calm. Any late-breaking announcement or viral thread could push counts higher, but current sentiment treats such spikes as low-probability outliers given the lack of fresh momentum drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano40-64 47%
<40 30.3%
65-89 18%
90-114 4.3%
NOWE
$13,863 Wol.
NOWE
$13,863 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
30%
40-64
47%
65-89
18%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
<40 30.3%
65-89 18%
90-114 4.3%
NOWE
$13,863 Wol.
NOWE
$13,863 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$459 Wol.
30%
40-64
$181 Wol.
47%
65-89
$101 Wol.
18%
90-114
$171 Wol.
4%
115-139
$1,247 Wol.
1%
140-164
$4,632 Wol.
<1%
165-189
$4,062 Wol.
<1%
190-214
$1,120 Wol.
<1%
215-239
$1,120 Wol.
<1%
240+
$770 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced moderate tweet volumes in the 40-64 range as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 20-22 because recent quiet stretches show his baseline cadence settling near that level absent major catalysts. With no confirmed Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies scheduled in the immediate window, market-implied odds reflect routine engagement patterns that have produced similar short-window totals in prior August periods. The secondary <40 bin draws support from weekend timing and historical data showing slower posting when business news cycles are calm. Any late-breaking announcement or viral thread could push counts higher, but current sentiment treats such spikes as low-probability outliers given the lack of fresh momentum drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,863Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have priced moderate tweet volumes in the 40-64 range as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 20-22 because recent quiet stretches show his baseline cadence settling near that level absent major catalysts. With no confirmed Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies scheduled in the immediate window, market-implied odds reflect routine engagement patterns that have produced similar short-window totals in prior August periods. The secondary <40 bin draws support from weekend timing and historical data showing slower posting when business news cycles are calm. Any late-breaking announcement or viral thread could push counts higher, but current sentiment treats such spikes as low-probability outliers given the lack of fresh momentum drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$13,863Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced moderate tweet volumes in the 40-64 range as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 20-22 because recent quiet stretches show his baseline cadence settling near that level absent major catalysts. With no confirmed Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or high-profile controversies scheduled in the immediate window, market-implied odds reflect routine engagement patterns that have produced similar short-window totals in prior August periods. The secondary <40 bin draws support from weekend timing and historical data showing slower posting when business news cycles are calm. Any late-breaking announcement or viral thread could push counts higher, but current sentiment treats such spikes as low-probability outliers given the lack of fresh momentum drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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