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米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?

ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?

icon for ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?

ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?

200以上 52%

180〜199 33%

160~179 15%

120〜139 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

200以上 52%

180〜199 33%

160~179 15%

120〜139 4.9%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$32 Vol.

<1%

20〜39

$26 Vol.

1%

40〜59

$32 Vol.

1%

60〜79

$100 Vol.

1%

80~99

$5 Vol.

5%

100〜119

$5 Vol.

5%

120〜139

$5 Vol.

5%

140~159

$5 Vol.

4%

160~179

$104 Vol.

15%

180〜199

$104 Vol.

33%

200以上

$215 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @WhiteHouse X account has maintained elevated posting volumes under the current administration, with activity more than double prior levels due to expanded digital operations, rapid-response messaging, policy amplification, and frequent reposts or quote posts.** Pew Research analysis of early 2026 data confirmed the account posts significantly more often than during the prior administration, aligning with broader patterns across federal accounts that emphasize real-time engagement on administration priorities. Recent snapshots from mid-September 2026 show clusters of multiple main-feed posts, photo dumps, and related content in short windows, supporting weekly totals that frequently exceed 180–200 when counting qualifying posts per market rules. Traders price 200+ as the plurality outcome at 52% because this sustained cadence—tied to daily developments rather than isolated spikes—has become the baseline, with only modest room for variance from scheduled events or news cycles in the September 22–29 window. Lower bins receive limited support absent signs of reduced output.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$633
終了日
2026/09/29
マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @WhiteHouse X account has maintained elevated posting volumes under the current administration, with activity more than double prior levels due to expanded digital operations, rapid-response messaging, policy amplification, and frequent reposts or quote posts.** Pew Research analysis of early 2026 data confirmed the account posts significantly more often than during the prior administration, aligning with broader patterns across federal accounts that emphasize real-time engagement on administration priorities. Recent snapshots from mid-September 2026 show clusters of multiple main-feed posts, photo dumps, and related content in short windows, supporting weekly totals that frequently exceed 180–200 when counting qualifying posts per market rules. Traders price 200+ as the plurality outcome at 52% because this sustained cadence—tied to daily developments rather than isolated spikes—has become the baseline, with only modest room for variance from scheduled events or news cycles in the September 22–29 window. Lower bins receive limited support absent signs of reduced output.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$633
終了日
2026/09/29
マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200以上」で52%、次いで「180〜199」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 19, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「200以上」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「180〜199」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ホワイトハウス# posts 2026年9月22日~ 29日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。