Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
Microsoft <1%
$44,289 Vol.
$44,289 Vol.
2026/09/30
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
6%
1%
Microsoft
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
アリババ
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
テンセント
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6%
Google <1%
Microsoft <1%
$44,289 Vol.
$44,289 Vol.
2026/09/30
Anthropic
$12,186 Vol.
93%
OpenAI
$13,707 Vol.
6%
$1,300 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$1,321 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$3,155 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$659 Vol.
<1%
アリババ
$807 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$689 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$848 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$574 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$903 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$803 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$864 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$926 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$768 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$748 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$682 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$657 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$934 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$686 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
マーケット開始日： Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
音量
$44,289終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
音量
$44,289終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETAnthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and related Opus variants drive the 92.5% market-implied odds through consistently top-tier scores on LiveBench Mathematics, including 97% in recent June 2026 snapshots that outpace OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol at 96.2%. These large language models excel at contamination-resistant math tasks due to targeted reasoning improvements and official releases emphasizing frontier performance. Traders see limited room for reversal before end-September resolution, though a surprise GPT-6 or DeepSeek update with superior math benchmarks could narrow the gap if LiveBench refreshes favor new capabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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