Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日米国の牛在庫面積の何パーセントが干ばつになりますか？ （ 9月1日の週）
米国の牛在庫面積の何パーセントが干ばつになりますか？ （ 9月1日の週）
60% or more 61%
50% to 59% 31%
40% to 49% <1%
Under 40% <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
Under 40%
1%
40% to 49%
1%
50% to 59%
31%
60% or more
61%
60% or more 61%
50% to 59% 31%
40% to 49% <1%
Under 40% <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
Under 40%
$1,270 Vol.
1%
40% to 49%
$801 Vol.
1%
50% to 59%
$3,378 Vol.
31%
60% or more
$1,926 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
音量
$7,374終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the "D1-D4" value reported for "Percent of Cattle Inventory Affected by Drought" on the U.S. Agricultural Commodities in Drought Livestock and Forage Data Table (https://agindrought.unl.edu/Table.aspx?2), maintained by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln in partnership with the USDA.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the reported percentage for the U.S. Drought Monitor week of September 1, 2026. Each U.S. Drought Monitor release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. The first value published for that week is final and will resolve this market independently of any later revisions or corrections.
If the source reports a value with decimals, it is rounded to the nearest whole number (a value of exactly 0.5 rounds up) before the bracket is selected. The brackets are inclusive of their stated endpoints and do not overlap.
If no value for the week of September 1, 2026 is published by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published "D1-D4" value for cattle inventory with an effective date on or before September 1, 2026.
音量
$7,374終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 5:16 PM ETRecent U.S. Drought Monitor data show 58% of cattle inventory area already affected by drought as of August 25, 2026, with rapid expansion across the Southern Plains, High Plains, and South driven by a persistent high-pressure dome, extreme heat exceeding 100–110°F, and below-normal precipitation. Official monitoring from NOAA and USDA highlights continued degradation in key ranching states including Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas, where flash drought impacts include depleted stock ponds and stressed forage. This positions the 60%+ outcome as the market leader amid ongoing expansion, while the 50–59% bracket reflects residual uncertainty in model consensus for early September relief. Upcoming USDM updates will incorporate new satellite and ground observations to refine these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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