Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar, first elected in 2004 and the winner of his March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index of R+3 and border-region demographics create a competitive environment, yet Cuellar’s established record and name recognition have sustained Democratic advantages in recent cycles. With both major-party nominees now set following the primaries, traders appear to weigh the structural benefits of incumbency and historical voting patterns more heavily than the challenger’s local profile, producing the current market pricing. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primary outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
82%
共和党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,266 Vol.
82%
共和党
$2,330 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar, first elected in 2004 and the winner of his March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index of R+3 and border-region demographics create a competitive environment, yet Cuellar’s established record and name recognition have sustained Democratic advantages in recent cycles. With both major-party nominees now set following the primaries, traders appear to weigh the structural benefits of incumbency and historical voting patterns more heavily than the challenger’s local profile, producing the current market pricing. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$4,597終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar, first elected in 2004 and the winner of his March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index of R+3 and border-region demographics create a competitive environment, yet Cuellar’s established record and name recognition have sustained Democratic advantages in recent cycles. With both major-party nominees now set following the primaries, traders appear to weigh the structural benefits of incumbency and historical voting patterns more heavily than the challenger’s local profile, producing the current market pricing. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primary outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,597終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar, first elected in 2004 and the winner of his March 2026 primary, faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas’s 28th congressional district. The district’s partisan voting index of R+3 and border-region demographics create a competitive environment, yet Cuellar’s established record and name recognition have sustained Democratic advantages in recent cycles. With both major-party nominees now set following the primaries, traders appear to weigh the structural benefits of incumbency and historical voting patterns more heavily than the challenger’s local profile, producing the current market pricing. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primary outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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