Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a deep Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its conservative voting base and by incumbent August Pfluger's unopposed primary victory. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. The wide trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that might shift momentum. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national wave, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in specific counties, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,888 Vol.
94%
民主党
$23,287 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a deep Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its conservative voting base and by incumbent August Pfluger's unopposed primary victory. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. The wide trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that might shift momentum. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national wave, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in specific counties, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a deep Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its conservative voting base and by incumbent August Pfluger's unopposed primary victory. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. The wide trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that might shift momentum. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national wave, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in specific counties, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district maintains a deep Republican tilt reinforced by recent redistricting that preserved its conservative voting base and by incumbent August Pfluger's unopposed primary victory. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds. The wide trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments that might shift momentum. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national wave, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in specific counties, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established patterns in this solidly Republican territory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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