AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$941,101 Vol.
$941,101 Vol.
2026/09/05
AfD
100%
CDU
<1%
左翼党
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
緑の党
<1%
AfD 99.8%
CDU <1%
左翼党 <1%
BSW <1%
$941,101 Vol.
$941,101 Vol.
2026/09/05
AfD
$128,525 Vol.
100%
CDU
$520,336 Vol.
<1%
左翼党
$47,106 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 Vol.
<1%
緑の党
$56,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$941,101終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
音量
$941,101終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election due to sustained polling dominance, with recent surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap placing the party at 41-43 percent, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23 percent and trailing parties below 13 percent. This reflects a roughly doubled share from its 2021 result amid voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition. The market's near-certain pricing for an AfD plurality aligns with the absence of meaningful late movement in vote intention data. An upset remains possible only in the event of substantial polling error driven by undecided voters or turnout differentials, though no such indicators have emerged in the final days.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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