OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and private $852 billion valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion round anchor trader expectations for a debut market cap clustered between $1 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Revenue momentum—roughly $25 billion annualized run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—combined with AI sector multiples supports the 40.5 percent probability on a 1.5T+ close, while persistent GAAP losses near $33 billion annually and the June 2026 shift toward a possible 2027 listing temper upside and sustain the 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Market-implied odds reflect capital-at-risk consensus on these growth-versus-profitability dynamics ahead of any FOMC or earnings catalysts that could reprice risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.5兆ドル以上 40.4%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 21%
1兆～1.25兆 18.1%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 10.8%
$106,319 Vol.
$106,319 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
2%
7,500億～1兆
10%
1兆～1.25兆
18%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
21%
1.5兆ドル以上
40%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
11%
1.5兆ドル以上 40.4%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 21%
1兆～1.25兆 18.1%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 10.8%
$106,319 Vol.
$106,319 Vol.
2027/12/31
5,000億未満
$8,050 Vol.
1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
$9,889 Vol.
2%
7,500億～1兆
$10,925 Vol.
10%
1兆～1.25兆
$15,107 Vol.
18%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
$10,351 Vol.
21%
1.5兆ドル以上
$27,961 Vol.
40%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
$24,036 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and private $852 billion valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion round anchor trader expectations for a debut market cap clustered between $1 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Revenue momentum—roughly $25 billion annualized run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—combined with AI sector multiples supports the 40.5 percent probability on a 1.5T+ close, while persistent GAAP losses near $33 billion annually and the June 2026 shift toward a possible 2027 listing temper upside and sustain the 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Market-implied odds reflect capital-at-risk consensus on these growth-versus-profitability dynamics ahead of any FOMC or earnings catalysts that could reprice risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$106,319終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and private $852 billion valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion round anchor trader expectations for a debut market cap clustered between $1 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Revenue momentum—roughly $25 billion annualized run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—combined with AI sector multiples supports the 40.5 percent probability on a 1.5T+ close, while persistent GAAP losses near $33 billion annually and the June 2026 shift toward a possible 2027 listing temper upside and sustain the 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Market-implied odds reflect capital-at-risk consensus on these growth-versus-profitability dynamics ahead of any FOMC or earnings catalysts that could reprice risk appetite.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$106,319終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and private $852 billion valuation from its March 2026 $122 billion round anchor trader expectations for a debut market cap clustered between $1 trillion and $1.5 trillion. Revenue momentum—roughly $25 billion annualized run rate with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—combined with AI sector multiples supports the 40.5 percent probability on a 1.5T+ close, while persistent GAAP losses near $33 billion annually and the June 2026 shift toward a possible 2027 listing temper upside and sustain the 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Market-implied odds reflect capital-at-risk consensus on these growth-versus-profitability dynamics ahead of any FOMC or earnings catalysts that could reprice risk appetite.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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