Anthropic's accelerated preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and active investor meetings scheduled for a potential October debut, are driving the 84% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting highlights Anthropic's push to capitalize on strong AI demand and revenue growth from its Claude large language model, while OpenAI has shifted its timeline toward 2027 after earlier targeting a late-2026 window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's concrete steps toward listing—such as banker outreach and regulatory progress—against OpenAI's more cautious stance amid competitive pressures in the artificial intelligence sector. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal announcement of Anthropic's roadshow or final pricing details that could lock in its lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic
84% 確率
$260,589 Vol.
$260,589 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
84% 確率
$260,589 Vol.
$260,589 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and active investor meetings scheduled for a potential October debut, are driving the 84% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting highlights Anthropic's push to capitalize on strong AI demand and revenue growth from its Claude large language model, while OpenAI has shifted its timeline toward 2027 after earlier targeting a late-2026 window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's concrete steps toward listing—such as banker outreach and regulatory progress—against OpenAI's more cautious stance amid competitive pressures in the artificial intelligence sector. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal announcement of Anthropic's roadshow or final pricing details that could lock in its lead.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$260,589終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and active investor meetings scheduled for a potential October debut, are driving the 84% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting highlights Anthropic's push to capitalize on strong AI demand and revenue growth from its Claude large language model, while OpenAI has shifted its timeline toward 2027 after earlier targeting a late-2026 window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's concrete steps toward listing—such as banker outreach and regulatory progress—against OpenAI's more cautious stance amid competitive pressures in the artificial intelligence sector. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal announcement of Anthropic's roadshow or final pricing details that could lock in its lead.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$260,589終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, and active investor meetings scheduled for a potential October debut, are driving the 84% market-implied probability that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. Recent reporting highlights Anthropic's push to capitalize on strong AI demand and revenue growth from its Claude large language model, while OpenAI has shifted its timeline toward 2027 after earlier targeting a late-2026 window. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic's concrete steps toward listing—such as banker outreach and regulatory progress—against OpenAI's more cautious stance amid competitive pressures in the artificial intelligence sector. Key upcoming catalysts include any formal announcement of Anthropic's roadshow or final pricing details that could lock in its lead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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