OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion valuation set the baseline for any IPO market-cap outcome, with revenue run-rate reported near $24 billion annually and enterprise contributing over 40 percent. Traders are pricing the debut against rapid AI-sector multiple compression, ongoing losses despite fourfold faster growth than peers at similar stages, and management’s June pivot toward a potential 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion target. Key near-term catalysts include September–December 2026 earnings visibility, regulatory clarity on AI oversight, and comparable tech IPO pricing that could shift implied multiples. Market-implied odds reflect both the company’s capital-raising momentum and uncertainty around sustained profitability and competitive positioning versus Anthropic and hyperscalers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,519,277 Vol.
$1,519,277 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
86%
1兆ドル
76%
1.2兆ドル
61%
1.4兆ドル
45%
1.6兆ドル
42%
$1,519,277 Vol.
$1,519,277 Vol.
2027/12/31
8,000億ドル
$107,332 Vol.
86%
1兆ドル
$1,046,738 Vol.
76%
1.2兆ドル
$248,684 Vol.
61%
1.4兆ドル
$67,569 Vol.
45%
1.6兆ドル
$48,953 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion valuation set the baseline for any IPO market-cap outcome, with revenue run-rate reported near $24 billion annually and enterprise contributing over 40 percent. Traders are pricing the debut against rapid AI-sector multiple compression, ongoing losses despite fourfold faster growth than peers at similar stages, and management’s June pivot toward a potential 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion target. Key near-term catalysts include September–December 2026 earnings visibility, regulatory clarity on AI oversight, and comparable tech IPO pricing that could shift implied multiples. Market-implied odds reflect both the company’s capital-raising momentum and uncertainty around sustained profitability and competitive positioning versus Anthropic and hyperscalers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,519,277終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion valuation set the baseline for any IPO market-cap outcome, with revenue run-rate reported near $24 billion annually and enterprise contributing over 40 percent. Traders are pricing the debut against rapid AI-sector multiple compression, ongoing losses despite fourfold faster growth than peers at similar stages, and management’s June pivot toward a potential 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion target. Key near-term catalysts include September–December 2026 earnings visibility, regulatory clarity on AI oversight, and comparable tech IPO pricing that could shift implied multiples. Market-implied odds reflect both the company’s capital-raising momentum and uncertainty around sustained profitability and competitive positioning versus Anthropic and hyperscalers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,519,277終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026 and its March private round at an $852 billion valuation set the baseline for any IPO market-cap outcome, with revenue run-rate reported near $24 billion annually and enterprise contributing over 40 percent. Traders are pricing the debut against rapid AI-sector multiple compression, ongoing losses despite fourfold faster growth than peers at similar stages, and management’s June pivot toward a potential 2027 listing to secure a $1 trillion target. Key near-term catalysts include September–December 2026 earnings visibility, regulatory clarity on AI oversight, and comparable tech IPO pricing that could shift implied multiples. Market-implied odds reflect both the company’s capital-raising momentum and uncertainty around sustained profitability and competitive positioning versus Anthropic and hyperscalers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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